Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.184331 0.213401 0.245543 0.283719 0.327833 0.377218 0.436720
2025-09-07 0.138668 0.177644 0.225228 0.287603 0.367258 0.465657 0.596599
2025-09-14 0.110520 0.151874 0.205944 0.281835 0.385704 0.523068 0.718900
2025-09-21 0.092593 0.134736 0.193008 0.279490 0.404740 0.579858 0.843960
2025-09-28 0.080747 0.123474 0.185485 0.282075 0.428988 0.644537 0.985859
2025-10-05 0.074400 0.118931 0.186423 0.296202 0.470658 0.737897 1.179954
2025-10-12 0.068144 0.113436 0.184853 0.305699 0.505588 0.824083 1.372362
2025-10-19 0.062476 0.107978 0.182403 0.313037 0.537277 0.907841 1.569764
2025-10-26 0.056841 0.101750 0.177765 0.315841 0.561222 0.980791 1.756617
2025-11-02 0.050960 0.094293 0.170047 0.312168 0.573138 1.033943 1.914264
2025-11-09 0.044924 0.085778 0.159418 0.301876 0.571708 1.062917 2.030820
2025-11-16 0.042024 0.082681 0.158139 0.308446 0.601700 1.151308 2.266739
2025-11-23 0.038601 0.078256 0.154038 0.309471 0.621843 1.224565 2.484472
2025-11-30 0.035904 0.074941 0.151693 0.313664 0.648690 1.313685 2.744316
2025-12-07 0.032395 0.069539 0.144592 0.307374 0.653535 1.359588 2.921135
2025-12-14 0.029666 0.065426 0.139610 0.304817 0.665647 1.421196 3.137394
2025-12-21 0.027720 0.062755 0.137309 0.307636 0.689389 1.509297 3.420370
2025-12-28 0.027014 0.062726 0.140621 0.323043 0.742277 1.665112 3.870589
2026-01-04 0.025931 0.061710 0.141646 0.333401 0.784932 1.802877 4.295477
2026-01-11 0.024747 0.060317 0.141659 0.341405 0.823002 1.934232 4.720297
2026-01-18 0.023312 0.058161 0.139677 0.344463 0.849709 2.042156 5.101425
2026-01-25 0.021551 0.054999 0.134992 0.340457 0.858888 2.109709 5.391538
2026-02-01 0.019523 0.050941 0.127714 0.329232 0.848960 2.130167 5.566146